Forecast of the number of patients with end-stage renal disease in the United States to the year 2010
JL Xue, JZ Ma, TA Louis, AJ Collins - Journal of the American …, 2001 - journals.lww.com
As the United States end-stage renal disease (ESRD) program enters the new millennium,
the continued growth of the ESRD population poses a challenge for policy makers, health
care providers, and financial planners. To assist in future planning for the ESRD program,
the growth of patient numbers and Medicare costs was forecasted to the year 2010 by
modeling of historical data from 1982 through 1997. A stepwise autoregressive method and
exponential smoothing models were used. The forecasting models for ESRD patient …
the continued growth of the ESRD population poses a challenge for policy makers, health
care providers, and financial planners. To assist in future planning for the ESRD program,
the growth of patient numbers and Medicare costs was forecasted to the year 2010 by
modeling of historical data from 1982 through 1997. A stepwise autoregressive method and
exponential smoothing models were used. The forecasting models for ESRD patient …